The CrapsSheet.xls spreadsheet contains a
system for betting craps. It presses bets on losses so that a pass line plus
odds payout will cover previous losses; this is a Martingale-like system. The odds bet is adjusted for the
winning odds, such that the odds payoff is the same no matter which point is
being played. Note well that like
all such systems, it will win most of the time, but when you lose, you lose big. And there is no way to avoid the
casino edge, so over the long term you are guaranteed to lose; but at
least betting craps on the pass line and taking odds is the lowest house edge,
so you should lose less on this game long term than anything else in the
casino.
The spreadsheet has been set up to print pages that
can be attached to 3x5 cards. I glued them to a spiral book of index cards.
Nobody in the casino should care that you use the reference or write stuff down
because the game has no memory, but you’ll likely get curious looks and
questions.
You use the spreadsheet to determine your next bet
(pass line or odds), and to determine your net win (if the odds bet wins) or
your loss so far (if the odds bet loses or there is no point established and
only the pass line wins or loses). The spreadsheet assumes a $10 minimum bet, a
$2000 maximum, and at least 3-4-5x odds offered. A comfortable stake is $5000;
of course you should establish casino credit so you can get your stake from
them instead of your own funds. If your table has different min or max or odds
max, you can adjust the spreadsheet.
The first column “Losses” tells you which row to
use given the total losses so far (from a previous step). If you won or this is
your first bet, of course use the first row with zero losses. Make the pass
line bet shown in the “Passline” column.
I maintain a set of chips to keep track of the
total win to know when I reached my goal. Because my memory isn’t great,
especially under pressure, I usually write down the current losses, and the
next possible loss amounts to make sure I’m ready for the next bet.
I usually have a goal of $500, which typically
takes 2-3 hours. With all the given factors, my computer simulations show wins
about 84% (and busts 16%). You can have a better win percentage with a lower
goal amount; and you can lower your worst case bust amount but will bust more
often.
Have fun. Tip the dealers often; it’s the right
thing to do and they can help you out if you make an obvious mistake or forget
a bet. Never forget you can’t win
over the long term, and you can have an unusual string of bad luck and lose lots
of money. But as long as your luck is normal, you can play for a long time,
earn comps, and have a little bit of a high-roller feeling when you ask for a
$5000 marker in a game where most people are playing with a bankroll of a few
hundred.